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Averaged Poll predicts undecideds for Kerry

election.princeton by Sam Wang averages all polls, fits a trend, and
predicts Kerry will win.

Monday, 2004 November 01, 12:00PM noon Eastern time

Median outcome, decided voters:
Kerry 252 EV, Bush 286 EV (±40 EV MoE)

Popular Meta-Margin among decided voters:
Bush leads Kerry by 0.9%

Predicted median with undecideds:
Kerry 280 EV, Bush 258 EV

Electoral prediction with undecideds and turnout:
Kerry 323 EV, Bush 215 EV

Popular vote prediction with undecideds and turnout:
Kerry 50%, Bush 48%, Nader/other 2%

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